Probability of Combined Events (Copy)
Cheat Sheet: Probability of Combined Events (IGCSE Mathematics 0580 – CORE)
Topic: Sample Space Diagrams, Venn Diagrams, Tree Diagrams (with Replacement)
1. Sample Space Diagrams
- Sample space = all possible outcomes.
- Use to find combined event probabilities by listing all possible outcomes.
- To find probability of an event:
Probability=Number of favorable outcomesTotal number of outcomestext{Probability} = frac{text{Number of favorable outcomes}}{text{Total number of outcomes}}
Example:
Tossing two coins → Sample space = {HH, HT, TH, TT}
Probability of getting one head = 2/4 = 1/2.
2. Venn Diagrams (Two Sets Only)
- Venn diagrams show relationships between two sets (e.g., A and B).
- Key regions:
- A only: In A but not B.
- B only: In B but not A.
- A ∩ B (A and B): In both A and B.
- Outside A and B: In neither A nor B.
Rules:
- P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B)
- P(A and B) = Probability of both events happening.
3. Tree Diagrams (With Replacement)
- Used for two or more events occurring one after another.
- With replacement = probabilities stay the same after each event.
- Probabilities are shown along the branches, outcomes at the end.
Multiplying Rule:
- To find the probability of a specific combined outcome:
Multiply probabilities along the branches.text{Multiply probabilities along the branches.}
Adding Rule:
- To find the probability of one of several paths:
Add probabilities of the different paths.text{Add probabilities of the different paths.}
Example:
- Toss a coin twice:
- Probability of HH = (1/2) × (1/2) = 1/4.
- Probability of HT or TH = (1/2 × 1/2) + (1/2 × 1/2) = 1/2.
4. Important Tips
- Sample space diagrams: list clearly without missing outcomes.
- Venn diagrams: always subtract overlap when needed.
- Tree diagrams:
- Multiply along branches.
- Add separate branches if asked for “either” outcomes.
- Probabilities must always add up to 1 at each stage.
This cheat sheet fully covers all CORE-level skills for calculating probabilities using sample spaces, Venn diagrams (two sets only), and tree diagrams (with replacement).
